Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 33.24% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.98%).
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
| 33.24% ( | 27.45% ( | 39.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.58% ( | 56.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.57% ( | 77.43% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( | 31.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.84% ( | 68.16% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( | 27.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.38% ( | 63.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 3-2 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.24% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 37 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 83 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 33 | 25 | 70 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 65 | 42 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 63 |
| 5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 37 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 61 |
| 6 | Millwall | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
| 9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 54 |
| 10 | Watford | 37 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 54 |
| 11 | Preston North EndPreston | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 52 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke CityStoke | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 15 | Hull City | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 46 |
| 16 | Reading | 37 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 44 |
| 17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 |
| 19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 42 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 39 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 35 |
| 23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 33 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 33 |
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