Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
