Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
