Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.