Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.