Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
