We said: Lincoln City 1-3 MK Dons
Their previous match may have been a step in the right direction, but there is still plenty of work for Lincoln City to do, and they have allowed far too many quality scoring opportunities to their opponents at home, which we expect MK Dons to take advantage of, seeing as they have scored the third-most goals (39) in the league thus far.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
