Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.