League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22

Jun 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Oriel Park

Dundalk
vs.
Waterford

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Waterford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions

Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Waterford United

All competitions

Last Game: Waterford 0-1 Shelbourne
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

We say: Dundalk 1-2 Waterford United

Despite their lowly standing in the table, Dundalk are a tough nut to crack at Oriel Park and will provide Waterford with a difficult test on Friday night. However, with leading marksman Gullan unlikely to be available for the Lilywhites, we envisage a defeat for the hosts as they face the division's leading marksman in Amond. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.61%. A draw has a probability of 29.4% and a win for Waterford United has a probability of 29.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Waterford United win it is 0-1 (11.16%).

Result
Dundalk	Draw	Waterford United
41.61% ( 0.61)	29.36% ( -0.06)	29.03% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 42.5% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.96% (

0.02)

64.05% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.79% (

0.02)

83.22% (

-0.01)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.6% (

0.36)

30.4% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.4% (

0.43)

66.6% (

-0.42)

Waterford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.07% (

-0.42)

38.93% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.34% (

-0.4)

75.66% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Dundalk 41.6%

Waterford United 29.03%

Draw 29.35%

Dundalk	Draw	Waterford United
1-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.33% Total : 41.6%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.35%	0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.03%