Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Levante had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Levante |
| 57.39% | 22.39% | 20.22% |
| Both teams to score 54.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% | 44.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% | 67.17% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% | 15.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.86% | 44.13% |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% | 36.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.07% | 72.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Levante |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.74% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.39% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.65% 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 6 | 29 | 41 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 38 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 27 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 26 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | GironaGirona | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Valencia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 13 | Almeria | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Getafe | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 16 |
| 19 | Sevilla | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 17 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 5 |
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