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UEFA Nations League

Kosovo national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
Lithuania national football team

Kosovo
1 - 0
Lithuania

Jashari (5')
Rexhbecaj (37'), Muric (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sirvys (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Kosovo and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kosovo

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 3-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cyprus 2-1 Lithuania
Friday, November 15 at 5pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kosovo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kosovo.

Result
KosovoDrawLithuania
52.27% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)25.83% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)21.9% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.11% (0.215 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.46% (0.231 0.23)56.53% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.48% (0.187 0.19)77.52% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (0.078999999999994 0.08)21.7% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (0.122 0.12)54.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.88% (0.215 0.22)41.12% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34% (0.19 0.19)77.66% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Kosovo 52.26%
    Lithuania 21.9%
    Draw 25.82%
KosovoDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 52.26%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Kosovo vs Lithuania

Kosovo
90.1%
Draw
4.5%
Lithuania
5.4%
111
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 2pm
League C
Lithuania
1-2
Kosovo
Golubickas (84')
Girdvainis (14'), Tutyskinas (53')
Zhegrova (20'), Krasniqi (65')
Rrudhani (45+3'), Dellova (51'), Rexhbecaj (86')
> Preview
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
Friendlies 2
Kosovo
4-0
Lithuania
Zeneli (27', 71'), Muriqi (63'), Halimi (79')
Voca (77')