Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Petah Tikva win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Hapoel Katamon win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.