Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.