Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.