Bangladesh

2 - 1

Maldives

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bangladesh would win this match.