Both sides will have one eye on the future this week, so a certain amount of experimentation could take place; creating a more open contest. Even so, Mancini's men boast sufficient quality across the pitch to both blood fresh talent and continue their recent renaissance with another win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Albania had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Albania win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
