Honduras national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 16, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Francisco Morazan
Mexico national football team

Honduras
2 - 0
Mexico

Palma (64', 64', 83', 83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Huerta (18'), Huerta (18'), Montes (73'), Montes (73'), Romo (90'), Romo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Honduras and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
HondurasDrawMexico
43.34% (0.195 0.2)26.03% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)30.63% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.64% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44% (0.163 0.16)51.55% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.142 0.14)73.35% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (0.16600000000001 0.17)23.64% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.26% (0.239 0.24)57.74% (-0.24 -0.24)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)31.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.37% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 43.33%
    Mexico 30.63%
    Draw 26.03%
HondurasDrawMexico
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.33%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.63%

How you voted: Honduras vs Mexico

Honduras
15.2%
Draw
12.1%
Mexico
72.7%
33
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2023 2.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Mexico
2-0
Honduras
(Aggregate 2-2 | Mexico win 4-2 on penalties)
Chavez (43'), Alvarez (90+11')
Alvarez (10'), Chavez (51'), Sanchez (92'), Jimenez (117'), Romo (130'), Romo (130')

Rosales (42'), Lozano (68'), Menjivar (86'), Elis (90+3'), Maldonado (94')
Facusse (90+13'), Maldonado (115')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2023 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Honduras
2-0
Mexico
Lozano (30'), Rochez (72')
Rivas (45+2'), Rosales (52'), Lozano (58')

Sanchez (41'), Vasquez (90+3'), Malagon (90+7')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
4-0
Honduras
Romo (1', 23'), Pineda (52'), Chavez (64')
Sanchez (29'), Uriel (32')

Vega (20'), Elis (32')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Third Round
Honduras
0-1
Mexico
Alvarez (70')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 12am
Third Round
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Cordova (18'), Funes Mori (76'), Lozano (86')
Montes (12')

Antonio Pereira Rodriguez (21'), Acosta (45+2')
Figueroa (49')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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