CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 11, 2024 at 9pm UK
Stade Roger Zami

Guadeloupe
0 - 1
Martinique


Senneville (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Labeau (86')
Varane (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guadeloupe and Martinique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guadeloupe

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guadeloupe 1-0 Suriname
Monday, September 9 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Martinique

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Martinique 2-2 Guyana
Monday, September 9 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 81.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 6.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.84%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
GuadeloupeDrawMartinique
81.1% (1.173 1.17)12.74% (-0.732 -0.73)6.16% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 43.14% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.45% (1.775 1.78)35.55% (-1.778 -1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.4% (1.938 1.94)57.6% (-1.942 -1.94)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.27% (0.621 0.62)6.73% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.11% (1.649 1.65)24.89% (-1.652 -1.65)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.25% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)53.75% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.88% (-0.025 -0.03)87.12% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Guadeloupe 81.09%
    Martinique 6.16%
    Draw 12.74%
GuadeloupeDrawMartinique
2-0 @ 13.17% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-0 @ 11.84% (0.14 0.14)
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 7.99% (0.355 0.36)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.96% (0.215 0.22)
5-0 @ 4.32% (0.327 0.33)
5-1 @ 2.68% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.94% (0.206 0.21)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.065 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.21% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 81.09%
1-1 @ 6.06% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.332 -0.33)
2-2 @ 2.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 12.74%
0-1 @ 2.25% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-2 @ 1.88% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 6.16%

How you voted: Guadeloupe vs Martinique

Guadeloupe
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Martinique
14.3%
14