Manchester United logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 7, 2025 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
Leicester logo

Man Utd
2 - 1
Leicester

Zirkzee (68'), Maguire (90+3')
Ugarte (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Reid (42')

The Match

Match Report

Harry Maguire scores a last-gasp winner as Manchester United advance to the fifth round of the FA Cup at the expense of fellow Premier League side Leicester City.

Team News

Manchester United head coach Ruben Amorim confirms his starting XI for Friday night's FA Cup fourth-round contest with Leicester City at Old Trafford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Manchester United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Leicester City could line up for their FA Cup fourth round tie at home to Manchester United on Friday.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's FA Cup fourth round tie with Leicester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 0-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, February 2 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 4-0 Leicester
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 68.43%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 14.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 3-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawLeicester City
68.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.45% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.86% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.27% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)8.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.56%28.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)70.43% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 68.43%
    Leicester City 14.45%
    Draw 17.12%
Manchester UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 7.86%
3-0 @ 7.24%
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.94%
4-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 4.27%
4-2 @ 2.68%
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-2 @ 1.35%
6-1 @ 1.04%
4-3 @ 0.97%
6-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 68.43%
1-1 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 17.12%
1-2 @ 4.05%
0-1 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.61%
1-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 14.45%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Leicester

Manchester United
77.5%
Draw
8.5%
Leicester City
14.0%
258
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 11
Man Utd
3-0
Leicester
Fernandes (17'), Kristansen (38' og.), Garnacho (82')

Buonanotte (63')
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 16
Man Utd
5-2
Leicester
Casemiro (15', 39'), Garnacho (28'), Fernandes (36', 59')
El Khannous (33'), Coady (45+3')
Okoli (20'), Cooper (21')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 24
Man Utd
3-0
Leicester
Rashford (25', 56'), Sancho (61')
Sep 1, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Leicester
0-1
Man Utd
Sancho (23')
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Man Utd
1-1
Leicester
Fred (66')
Shaw (5'), McTominay (49')
Iheanacho (63')
Fofana (16'), Tielemans (30')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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