Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Horsham win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Carlisle United in this match.