Bristol City
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 12pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Wolves logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Wolves

Twine (45+1')
McGuane (29')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ait-Nouri (10'), Gomes (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Bristol City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Derby
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
61.52% (-0.551 -0.55)21.39% (0.048000000000002 0.05)17.09% (0.504 0.5)
Both teams to score 51.61% (0.90499999999999 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (0.669 0.67)45.21% (-0.669 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.44% (0.637 0.64)67.56% (-0.63699999999999 -0.64)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (0.042999999999992 0.04)14.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.13% (0.088000000000001 0.09)41.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14% (1.023 1.02)39.86% (-1.024 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (0.93 0.93)76.53% (-0.92999999999999 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 61.52%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 17.09%
    Draw 21.38%
Bristol CityDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.049 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 61.52%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.67% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.09%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Wolves

Bristol City
31.3%
Draw
12.0%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
56.6%
83
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2019 1pm
Fifth Round
Bristol City
0-1
Wolves

Wright (52'), Kalas (75')
Cavaleiro (28')
Moutinho (83'), Gibbs-White (86')
Dec 30, 2017 5.30pm
Bristol City
1-2
Wolves
Reid (53')
Fielding (64')
Douglas (66'), Bennett (90')
Neves (49')
Batth (14')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Wolves
3-3
Bristol City
Bonatini (28'), Jota (54'), Batth (85')
Jota (68')
Flint (43'), Diedhiou (58' pen.), Reid (82')
Baker (21'), Brownhill (48')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Bristol City
3-1
Wolves
Paterson (33'), Abraham (39' pen., 49')
Flint (63')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Wolves
3-2
Bristol City
Edwards (3'), Costa (57'), Cavaleiro (84' pen.)
Coady (53'), Cavaleiro (91')
Abraham (38'), Flint (44')
Matthews (31'), Pack (37'), Freeman (67')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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