With Sheriff far from their best in recent weeks, KI will fancy their chances of causing the upset. However, we can only back the team with the more recent European pedigree, leading us to product a hard-earned victory for the home team.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for KI Klaksvik had a probability of 9.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a KI Klaksvik win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
