Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.