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Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva

Kryvbas Kryvyi
1 - 2
Plzen

Kwabena Adu (20')
Kwabena Adu (17'), Dibango (63'), Vakulko (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maxim Panos (48'), Vasulin (69')
Maxim Panos (32'), Vasulin (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih and Viktoria Plzen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

All competitions
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Viktoria Plzen

All competitions
Last Game: Jablonec 0-0 Plzen
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Czech Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawViktoria Plzen
36.37% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)25.47% (0.123 0.12)38.15% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)47.86% (0.573 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (-0.529 -0.53)70.04% (0.52800000000001 0.53)
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.402 -0.4)25.62% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.55 -0.55)60.52% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.196 -0.2)24.65% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-0.276 -0.28)59.17% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 36.37%
    Viktoria Plzen 38.15%
    Draw 25.47%
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawViktoria Plzen
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.105 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.15%

How you voted: Kryvbas Kryvyi vs Plzen

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
13.3%
Draw
15.0%
Viktoria Plzen
71.7%
60