Estudiantes
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata

Estudiantes
1 - 2
Universidad

Piovi (3', 3')
Palacios (54'), Palacios (54'), Piovi (61'), Piovi (61')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Aranguiz (7' pen., 7' pen.), Zaldivia (10', 10')
Zaldivia (25'), Zaldivia (25'), Poblete (47'), Poblete (47')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes and Universidad de Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-1 Belgrano
Friday, April 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Universidad de Chile

All competitions
Last Game: Universidad 1-0 Botafogo
Thursday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Universidad de Chile had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Universidad de Chile win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawUniversidad de Chile
52.01% (1.738 1.74)24.31% (-0.542 -0.54)23.67% (-1.198 -1.2)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.403 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (1.153 1.15)49.05% (-1.158 -1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (1.035 1.04)71.13% (-1.038 -1.04)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (1.144 1.14)18.83% (-1.147 -1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (1.877 1.88)50.27% (-1.879 -1.88)
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)35.23% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.445 -0.45)71.99% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 52.01%
    Universidad de Chile 23.67%
    Draw 24.3%
EstudiantesDrawUniversidad de Chile
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.129 0.13)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.26 0.26)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.305 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.184 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.199 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.417 -0.42)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.67%