

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.58%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 25.59% | 20.98% | 53.43% |
| Both teams to score 66.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.2% | 31.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.66% | 53.34% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% | 24.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.22% | 58.78% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.8% | 12.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.12% | 37.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.24% 1-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.09% 2-0 @ 2.96% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.09% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.59% | 1-1 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 2.97% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.98% | 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 6.51% 0-1 @ 6.26% 0-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 4.6% 1-4 @ 3.43% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 2.42% 1-5 @ 1.44% 3-4 @ 1.14% 0-5 @ 1.02% 2-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.7% Total : 53.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Heracles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Ajax | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
