Dominica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 16, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cibao
Dominican Republic national football team

Dominica
1 - 6
Dominican Rep.

Joseph (30', 30')
Maxime (38'), Maxime (38'), Bertrand (45+3'), Bertrand (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Romero (13', 13', 65', 65'), Morschel (37', 37', 49', 49'), Leonardo Nunez Mata (68', 68'), Japa (90+5' pen., 90+5' pen.)
Morschel (79'), Morschel (79')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Dominica and Dominican Republic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 3-2 Dominica
Tuesday, October 15 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 5-0 Antigua
Tuesday, October 15 at 6.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 59.78%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Dominica win was 2-1 (5.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
DominicaDrawDominican Republic
20.26% (2.246 2.25)19.97% (0.555 0.56)59.78% (-2.803 -2.8)
Both teams to score 62.73% (2.202 2.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (0.985 0.98)33.43% (-0.987 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (1.118 1.12)55.22% (-1.12 -1.12)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (2.798 2.8)29.52% (-2.798 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (3.285 3.29)65.53% (-3.288 -3.29)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.01% (-0.426 -0.43)10.99% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.74% (-0.94500000000001 -0.95)35.26% (0.943 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Dominica 20.26%
    Dominican Republic 59.78%
    Draw 19.97%
DominicaDrawDominican Republic
2-1 @ 5.33% (0.436 0.44)
1-0 @ 3.96% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 2.42% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.323 0.32)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.325 0.33)
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 20.26%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.385 0.39)
0-0 @ 3.24% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.211 0.21)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.97%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.715 -0.72)
0-1 @ 7.16% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-3 @ 7.1% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-3 @ 5.82% (-0.639 -0.64)
2-3 @ 4.33% (0.212 0.21)
1-4 @ 3.92% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.416 -0.42)
2-4 @ 2.39% (0.076 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.73% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-5 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.97% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 59.78%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 4pm
League B
Dominican Rep.
2-0
Dominica
Vasquez (11'), Romero (25')
Firpo (16'), Angel Beltre Agramonte (55')

Bertrand (31'), Thomas (55'), Jules (87')
Mar 24, 2021
11pm
First Round
Dominican Rep.  
D
vs.
D
   Dominica
Nunez (52')

Thomas (16')