Dominica national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 12, 2024 at 11.30pm UK
Bermuda National Stadium
Bermuda national football team

Dominica
1 - 6
Bermuda

Joseph (61')
Pierre-Louis (39'), Mitchel (61'), Laville (71'), Thomas (89')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Wells (9', 18', 26' pen.), Lewis (49'), Scott (85'), Bean (90+1')
Jones Jr. (31')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Dominica and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-0 Dominica
Tuesday, September 10 at 4pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 0-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, September 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 38.25% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.04%) and 1-3 (4.87%). The likeliest Dominica win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.

Result
DominicaDrawBermuda
38.25% (0.041000000000004 0.04)21.99% (0.010999999999999 0.01)39.75% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Both teams to score 69.4% (-0.047999999999988 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.39% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.61% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.07% (-0.073 -0.07)51.92% (0.07 0.07)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.87% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)47.12% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)16.38% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)46.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dominica 38.25%
    Bermuda 39.76%
    Draw 21.99%
DominicaDrawBermuda
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.37% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 38.25%
1-1 @ 8.93% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 2.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.04% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
3-4 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 39.76%