Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.
