Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and Flamengo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
