Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade de Moroni
Comoros1 - 0Madagascar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gambia 1-2 Comoros
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, November 15 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Last Game: Madagascar 2-3 Tunisia
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 41.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Comoros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Madagascar |
| 29.01% ( | 29.33% ( | 41.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.05% ( | 63.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% ( | 83.15% ( |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( | 38.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.37% ( | 75.63% ( |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( | 30.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.49% ( | 66.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Comoros 29%
Madagascar 41.66%
Draw 29.33%
| Comoros | Draw | Madagascar |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 29% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 2-2 @ 3.74% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 14.07% ( 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 41.66% |
How you voted: Comoros vs Madagascar
Comoros
53.6%Draw
28.6%Madagascar
17.9%28
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2024 5pm
Jun 7, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
2-1
Comoros
Jul 13, 2021 11am
Group Stage
Comoros
0-0
Madagascar
Form Guide
rhs 2.0


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| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
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