World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Colombia
0 - 1
Ecuador

Portilla (60'), Portilla (60'), Duran (73'), Duran (73'), Lucumi (90+5'), Lucumi (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Valencia (7', 7')
Gruezo (54'), Gruezo (54'), Beccacece (71'), Beccacece (71'), Caicedo (85'), Caicedo (85')
Hincapie (34'), Hincapie (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uruguay 3-2 Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	11	13	22
2	Uruguay	11	8	19
3	Colombia	11	6	19
4	Ecuador	11	6	19
5	Brazil	11	6	17
6	Paraguay	11	1	16
7	Venezuela	11	-2	12
8	Bolivia	11	-14	12
9	Peru	11	-11	7
10	Chile	11	-13	6

Ecuador

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ecuador 4-0 Bolivia
Friday, November 15 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	11	13	22
2	Uruguay	11	8	19
3	Colombia	11	6	19
4	Ecuador	11	6	19
5	Brazil	11	6	17
6	Paraguay	11	1	16
7	Venezuela	11	-2	12
8	Bolivia	11	-14	12
9	Peru	11	-11	7
10	Chile	11	-13	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Ecuador
59.89% ( -3.05)	24.29% ( 1.22)	15.82% ( 1.83)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Colombia	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 15.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.49) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.55% Total : 59.89%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.44% Total : 24.28%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.82%