Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Dalian Yifang had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Dalian Yifang win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.