Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Stoke City |
| 48.44% | 27.71% | 23.85% |
| Both teams to score 43.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.66% | 61.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.75% | 81.25% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% | 25.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.64% | 60.36% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.05% | 41.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.61% | 78.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 14.61% 2-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.05% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
| P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
| 3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
| P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
| 5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
| 11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
| 12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
| 13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
| 18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
| 20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
| R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
| R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||