Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Millwall |
| 66.02% | 20.28% | 13.7% |
| Both teams to score 47.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% | 46.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% | 13.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.75% | 40.25% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.49% | 45.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.66% | 81.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Millwall |
| 2-0 @ 12.31% 1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 8.27% 3-1 @ 6.51% 4-0 @ 4.16% 4-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.72% Total : 66.01% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.28% | 0-1 @ 4.79% 1-2 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
| P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
| 3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
| P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
| 5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
| 11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
| 12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
| 13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
| 18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
| 20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
| R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
| R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
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