Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Luton Town |
| 38.43% | 30.2% | 31.37% |
| Both teams to score 41.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.99% | 66.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.41% | 84.59% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% | 33.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.06% | 69.94% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% | 38.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.04% | 74.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% 2-0 @ 7.69% 2-1 @ 7.4% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.43% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.72% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.19% | 0-1 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.64% Total : 31.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
| P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
| 3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
| P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
| 5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
| 11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
| 12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
| 13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
| 18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
| 20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
| R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
| R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
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