Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 25.86% | 26.42% | 47.72% |
| Both teams to score 48.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.43% | 55.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% | 76.74% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% | 36.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.33% | 73.67% |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% | 23.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.75% | 57.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.28% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 12.52% 0-2 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-3 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Fulham | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 106 | 43 | 63 | 90 |
| P | Bournemouth | 46 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 88 |
| 3 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 82 |
| P | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 73 | 40 | 33 | 80 |
| 5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 69 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 67 |
| 11 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 66 |
| 12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 64 |
| 13 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 52 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 61 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 60 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 62 | 77 | -15 | 55 |
| 18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 51 |
| 20 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | 13 | 8 | 25 | 54 | 87 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 9 | 10 | 27 | 43 | 87 | -44 | 37 |
| R | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 34 |
| R | Barnsley | 46 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 73 | -40 | 30 |
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