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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
1 - 1
Panevezys

Erwin (38')
Hostikka (9'), Halme (15'), Keskinen (77'), Korkeakunnas (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veliulis (45')
Rasimavicius (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between HJK Helsinki and Panevezys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panevezys 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Tuesday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Panevezys 3-0 HJK Helsinki
Tuesday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ilves332.06Haarala
2HJK Helsinki281.75Plange
3Inter Turku281.75Smith
4KuPS271.80Luyeye-Lutumba
5Haka261.73Patoulidis
6SJK261.73Moreno
7VPS251.67Borchers
8Oulu221.47Coffey
9Gnistan191.27Latonen
10EIF161.07Kaufmann
11Mariehamn161.14Larsson
12Lahti140.93Ivanovic

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Panevezys had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Panevezys win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawPanevezys
59.45% (-0.107 -0.11)22.25% (0.040000000000003 0.04)18.31% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.04% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)46.96% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)69.2% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.58% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)15.42% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)44.24% (0.109 0.11)
Panevezys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.040000000000003 0.04)76.16% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 59.44%
    Panevezys 18.31%
    Draw 22.24%
HJK HelsinkiDrawPanevezys
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.66% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.31%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Panevezys

HJK Helsinki
69.5%
Draw
13.6%
Panevezys
16.9%
59
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2024 4.30pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Panevezys
3-0
HJK Helsinki
Veliulis (17'), Gorobsov (65' pen.), Mbo (67')
Rasimavicius (57'), Dieng (58'), Mbo (88'), Gorobsov (90')
Dieng (71')

Kanellopoulos (55'), Lyons-Foster (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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