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Champions League

Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Celje

Flora
0 - 5
Celje


Hussar (37'), Jonne Tougjas (44')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Matko (7'), Vuklisevic (10'), Zabukovnik (45+1'), Aarons (71'), Svetlin (90')
Zabukovnik (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Flora and Celje, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flora

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Flora 0-2 SSC Farul
Wednesday, August 16 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Celje

All competitions
Last Game: Radomlje 1-1 Celje
Saturday, May 18 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Flora had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Flora win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
FloraDrawCelje
38.28% (0.123 0.12)23.39% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)38.32% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Both teams to score 63.83% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18% (0.142 0.14)37.82% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93% (0.152 0.15)60.07% (-0.156 -0.16)
Flora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (0.11999999999999 0.12)20.11% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62% (0.193 0.19)52.37% (-0.197 -0.2)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.013999999999996 0.01)20.1% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.026000000000003 0.03)52.34% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Flora 38.28%
    Celje 38.32%
    Draw 23.39%
FloraDrawCelje
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 38.28%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.69% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.91% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 38.32%

How you voted: Flora vs Celje

Flora
16.7%
Draw
22.2%
Celje
61.1%
36
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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