Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld | 
| 59.15% | 23.1% | 17.75% | 
| Both teams to score 47.6% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.75% | 51.24% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.92% | 73.08% | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.99% | 17.01% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.86% | 47.14% | 
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.36% | 42.64% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.01% | 78.98% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Union Berlin | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld | 
| 1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.73% 4-0 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 59.13% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.18% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.75% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 97 | 37 | 60 | 77 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 85 | 52 | 33 | 69 | 
| 3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 64 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 58 | 
| 5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 | 
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 55 | 
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 52 | 
| 8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 46 | 
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 46 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 45 | 
| 11 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 42 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 42 | 
| 13 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 42 | 
| 14 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 38 | 
| 15 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 | 
| 16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 33 | 
| R | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 | 
| R | Greuther Furth | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 82 | -54 | 18 | 
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