The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 25.15% | 26.5% | 48.34% |
| Both teams to score 47.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
