Sao Paulo have run out of steam in recent weeks and will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result. However, we expect a resurgent Criciuma side to turn in another solid team display and hold out for a share of the spoils at the Estadio do Morumbi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.83%) and 3-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Criciuma
70.59% ( 0.03)	18.62% ( -0.02)	10.79% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 43.64% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

0.04)

46.87% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87% (

0.04)

69.12% (

-0.04)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

0.02)

12.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.49% (

0.04)

37.51% (

-0.05)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.61% (

-0.01)

50.39% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.07% (

-0.01)

84.92% (

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 70.58%

Criciuma 10.79%

Draw 18.62%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Criciuma
2-0 @ 13.59% 1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 70.58%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.57% Total : 18.62%	0-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.02% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 10.79%