Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Criciuma win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Criciuma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.