Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
