Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.
