Bahamas national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Jun 8, 2025 at 12am UK
Wildey Turf
Costa Rica national football team

Bahamas
0 - 8
Costa Rica


Lopez (33')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Martinez (20'), Mora (38'), Bran (45+2'), Galo (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Bahamas and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Barbados 6-2 Bahamas
Wednesday, October 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Grenada vs. Bahamas
Thursday, June 5 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: USA 3-0 Costa Rica
Thursday, January 23 at 12am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Costa Rica win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw has a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bahamas has a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-3 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Bahamas win it is 2-1 (5.12%).

Result
BahamasDrawCosta Rica
19.26% (1.479 1.48)19.52% (0.667 0.67)61.22% (-2.15 -2.15)
Both teams to score 62.63% (0.416 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.2% (-0.73700000000001 -0.74)32.79% (0.733 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.51% (-0.854 -0.85)54.49% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (1.027 1.03)30.07% (-1.031 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (1.218 1.22)66.2% (-1.222 -1.22)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.56% (-0.73700000000001 -0.74)10.43% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.99% (-1.69 -1.69)34.01% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Bahamas 19.26%
    Costa Rica 61.22%
    Draw 19.52%
BahamasDrawCosta Rica
2-1 @ 5.12% (0.32 0.32)
1-0 @ 3.77% (0.247 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 2.27% (0.208 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.182 0.18)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 19.26%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.301 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.186 0.19)
0-0 @ 3.14% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.52%
1-2 @ 9.63% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.197 -0.2)
1-3 @ 7.26% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 6.04% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-3 @ 4.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-4 @ 4.1% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-4 @ 3.41% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-4 @ 2.46% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.85% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-5 @ 1.54% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-5 @ 1.11% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 61.22%