Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg

May 22, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro
4 - 0
Maringa

Rubens (45+4', 45+4'), Roberto da Silva Campos (52', 52'), Rony (78', 78'), Lyanco (88', 88')
Santos (72'), Santos (72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller Araujo Loiola (32'), Miller Araujo Loiola (32'), Vilar dos Santos (40'), Vilar dos Santos (40'), Ferreira Ramos (58'), Ferreira Ramos (58')
Ferreira Ramos (87'), Ferreira Ramos (87')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Atletico Mineiro and Maringa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Monday, May 19 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Maringa

All competitions

Last Game: Maringa 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, April 29 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 79.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Maringa had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.2%) and 1-0 (11.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Maringa win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Maringa
79.98% ( -0.17)	13.76% ( -0.01)	6.26% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 39.72% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.68% (

0.87)

40.32% (

-0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.31% (

0.88)

62.69% (

-0.88)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92% (

0.16)

8% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.79% (

0.4)

28.21% (

-0.4)

Maringa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.18% (

1.15)

56.82% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.06% (

0.64)

88.94% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 79.97%

Maringa 6.26%

Draw 13.76%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Maringa
2-0 @ 14.5% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 79.97%	1-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.4% Total : 13.76%	0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.86% Total : 6.26%