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World Cup

Antigua and Barbuda national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
FIFA Technical Centre Butwal
Bermuda national football team

Antigua
1 - 1
Bermuda

Deterville (26')
Parker (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ming (90')
Robinson (14'), Lewis (63'), Ming (90+4')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions
Last Game: Guyana 6-0 Antigua
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea 5-1 Bermuda
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Antigua and BarbudaDrawBermuda
42.67% (4.187 4.19)23.63% (0.073 0.07)33.7% (-4.257 -4.26)
Both teams to score 62.17% (-1.025 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.33% (-1.035 -1.04)39.67% (1.037 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98% (-1.086 -1.09)62.02% (1.089 1.09)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (1.446 1.45)18.93% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (2.351 2.35)50.44% (-2.348 -2.35)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (-2.679 -2.68)23.31% (2.68 2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74% (-4.062 -4.06)57.25% (4.066 4.07)
Score Analysis
    Antigua and Barbuda 42.67%
    Bermuda 33.7%
    Draw 23.62%
Antigua and BarbudaDrawBermuda
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.506 0.51)
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.658 0.66)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.794 0.79)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.486 0.49)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.571 0.57)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.284 0.28)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.289 0.29)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.209 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.542 -0.54)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.557 -0.56)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.602 -0.6)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.483 -0.48)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.23 -0.23)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.7%

How you voted: Antigua vs Bermuda

Antigua and Barbuda
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Bermuda
20.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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