Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Sirius.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 Malmo
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AIK Fotboll | 14 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Malmo | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 13 | 15 | 24 |
Last Game: Sirius 2-0 Degerfors
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 14 | 1 | 21 |
| 8 | Sirius | 14 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Elfsborg | 14 | 8 | 20 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Sirius win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Sirius |
72.95% ( 0.02) | 16.63% ( -0.02) | 10.42% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
