Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Egypt had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Egypt win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.
